Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x375c…1584
crypto · 721 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,105 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,104 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$1,104
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses330 / 390
Open positions1
Markets (closed)720 / 721
History coverage209d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 720 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days−$297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 51¢ 44¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$13 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$25 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 24 $127 −$55 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 24 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 24 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 24 $42 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 24 $16 −$9 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 24 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 24 $13 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 24 $22 +$22 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 24 $27 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 24 $8 +$7 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 24 $45 +$13 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 24 $29 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 24 $53 −$15 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 24 $15 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 24 $30 +$24 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 24 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 24 $19 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 24 $7 −$4 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 24 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 24 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 24 $22 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 24 $14 −$10 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 24 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 24 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 24 $11 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 24 $28 +$11 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 24 $20 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 24 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$997
other 2% −$108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $76 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $51 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $31 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -1.1% -10.6% 60% 60% -5.3%
≤30d 175 -13.7% -22.0% 46% 41% -18.2%
≤90d 430 -11.4% -19.9% 45% 42% -17.7%
all 720 -10.3% -18.8% 46% 43% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 43% -16.3%
10% -26.6% 40% -24.3%
15% -33.7% 35% -31.6%
20% -40.2% 31% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.73 · official $5.79 · 1725 history records