trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 5 | +89.5% | +71.4% | 60% | 60% | +106.7% |
| all | 8 | +54.1% | +39.4% | 62% | 50% | +6.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +39.4% | 50% | +6.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +26.1% | 50% | -3.9% |
| 15% | +13.9% | 50% | -13.2% |
| 20% | +2.7% | 38% | -21.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $450 | $525 | +$75 (+17%) |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $386 | $395 | +$8 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 16 | $817 | +$1,413 | +173% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? | May 07 | $790 | −$790 | -100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30? | Apr 29 | $261 | −$261 | -100% |
| Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel? | Apr 27 | $1,339 | +$644 | +48% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Apr 11 | $1,045 | +$4,455 | +426% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 15 | $43,879 | +$193 | +0% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 13 | $14,915 | +$12,676 | +85% |
| Did Barron Trump launch $DJT? | Jun 23 | $6,252 | −$6,252 | -100% |