Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:46:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x376a…78a7
sports · 68 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$36 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses37 / 30
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 68
History coverage20d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$84
7 days+$75
14 days+$75
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffs Nemiga 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Luca Nardi 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B BET-M 33 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Phoenix Mercury 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage ex-RUBY 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winner Evil Geniuses Academy 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 2 Winner BET-M 33 70¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$15 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$36 +102%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $70 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $55 +$19 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$22 +189%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $24 +$5 +20%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $41 −$29 -72%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $46 +$7 +14%
Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Mathys Erhard May 29 $20 −$11 -55%
Centurion: Orel Kimhi vs Giles Hussey May 29 $10 +$5 +48%
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly May 29 $10 +$5 +50%
Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Sumit Nagal May 29 $10 +$7 +73%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $20 −$20 -99%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi May 29 $10 −$10 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 29 $10 −$10 -99%
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Arantxa Rus vs Anastasia Tikhonova May 29 $5 $0 -5%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox May 28 $10 +$6 +62%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers May 28 $5 +$6 +114%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima May 28 $30 −$6 -21%
Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lautaro Midon May 28 $10 +$5 +50%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot May 28 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 28 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 28 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 28 $61 −$50 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 28 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 28 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 28 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 28 $30 +$8 +28%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Chenting Zhu May 28 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Partizan Esport vs eSuba (BO3) - Exort Series Main Sta May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 28 $21 +$9 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% −$53
crypto 38% +$16
other 18% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $68 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $75 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 93¢ $70 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND BUY 25¢ $10 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $75 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 73¢ $55 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $38 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $30 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +13.4% +2.6% 62% 58% +4.8%
≤30d 67 -3.7% -12.9% 55% 51% -9.4%
≤90d 67 -3.7% -12.9% 55% 51% -9.4%
all 67 -3.7% -12.9% 55% 51% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 51% -9.4%
10% -21.2% 42% -18.0%
15% -28.9% 33% -26.0%
20% -35.8% 22% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $10.00 · 156 history records