trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | FUT Esports | 65¢ | 42¢ | $10 | $6 | −$4 (-36%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 20¢ | 16¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-22%) |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner | Gen.G | 65¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Monte | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | TheMongolz | 64¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Team WE | 5¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | Jun 14 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $25 | +$6 | +24% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $50 | +$4 | +7% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 14 | $78 | +$6 | +8% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Jun 14 | $27 | −$3 | -10% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Jun 14 | $20 | +$9 | +43% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Jun 14 | $30 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $35 | +$8 | +22% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$3 | +17% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $12 | +$8 | +62% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $59 | +$3 | +5% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play | Jun 13 | $46 | +$10 | +23% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage | Jun 13 | $6 | −$1 | -16% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner | Jun 13 | $5 | +$10 | +188% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 13 | $31 | −$5 | -17% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +19% |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +114% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 70% | 48% | -0.1% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 70% | 48% | -0.1% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 70% | 48% | -0.1% |
| all | 23 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 70% | 48% | -0.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -0.3% | 48% | -0.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -9.8% | 35% | -9.6% |
| 15% | -18.5% | 22% | -18.4% |
| 20% | -26.5% | 17% | -26.4% |