Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37b4…0b75
crypto · 447 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$283 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$475 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$475
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses191 / 251
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)442 / 447
History coverage36d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day54.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 5 History 442 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$1
14 days−$21
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -56%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$5 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$10 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$4 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$5 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$4 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -47%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +389%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 03 $9 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $11 −$3 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 02 $16 −$3 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 02 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 01 $20 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 01 $18 −$6 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $22 −$6 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 01 $6 +$4 +62%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $6 −$6 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$475
other 2% −$4
sports 0% −$3
world 0% +$7
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -3.0% -12.2% 46% 29% -9.1%
≤30d 223 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 35% -13.6%
≤90d 442 -12.0% -20.4% 43% 34% -17.9%
all 442 -12.0% -20.4% 43% 34% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 34% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 25% -25.8%
15% -34.9% 19% -32.9%
20% -41.3% 12% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.93 · official $16.93 (match) · 2094 history records