Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:09:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37b9…bf5c
sports · 79 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses36 / 42
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)78 / 79
History coverage10d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 1 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days−$48
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Portugal 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 61¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $75 −$3 -4%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$6 -38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $15 +$4 +25%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$3 -67%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $83 +$6 +7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$7 +67%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $43 +$27 +64%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $27 +$13 +48%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $8 +$9 +116%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $45 −$45 -99%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$8 +149%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $15 +$17 +110%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 +$10 +101%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$7 -71%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Indonesia (-1.5) Jun 09 $10 −$3 -27%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $28 +$8 +28%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $28 +$7 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 +$11 +109%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs CITA Kaizen (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 −$9 -68%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $14 −$10 -72%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $17 −$3 -20%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $10 +$8 +81%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $10 +$12 +121%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +103%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 06 $10 −$5 -48%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 06 $10 $0 -4%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 −$1 -6%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 06 $10 −$2 -15%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group St Jun 06 $20 −$5 -25%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5) Jun 06 $21 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$10 +95%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Nara Club win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $18 +$7 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$4
other 8% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $66 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 90¢ $60 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 17¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 36¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 36¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 55¢ $5 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 46¢ $7 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 63¢ $10 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Leviatán Esports 23¢ $2 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 52¢ $5 3h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $5 7h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $8 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $5 7h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 52¢ $5 7h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Over 48¢ $5 7h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 7h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Over 48¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $5 7h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 21¢ $2 7h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 62¢ $5 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 44¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $5 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 18¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 98¢ $89 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 91¢ $83 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -5.3% -14.3% 44% 42% -14.7%
≤30d 78 +2.3% -7.5% 46% 44% -9.4%
≤90d 78 +2.3% -7.5% 46% 44% -9.4%
all 78 +2.3% -7.5% 46% 44% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 44% -9.4%
10% -16.3% 42% -18.1%
15% -24.4% 37% -26.0%
20% -31.8% 32% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.91 · official $9.91 (match) · 197 history records