Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37bd…c1db
crypto · 993 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses784 / 206
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)990 / 993
History coverage107d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 990 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$136
14 days−$43
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 0¢ 74¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 +$8 +32%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$42
other 2% +$17
sports 1% −$2
culture 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 282 -9.2% -17.9% 72% 33% -15.4%
≤30d 455 -1.9% -11.2% 78% 37% -10.9%
≤90d 771 -2.6% -11.9% 79% 37% -10.4%
all 990 -2.3% -11.6% 79% 38% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 38% -10.0%
10% -20.1% 22% -18.6%
15% -27.8% 12% -26.5%
20% -34.9% 8% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.61 · official $25.69 · 3500 history records