Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37c7…6b4a
crypto · 495 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$186 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$138
Realized−$187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses236 / 237
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions83
Markets (closed)473 / 495
History coverage7d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day399.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 83 History 473 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days−$188
14 days−$187
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 61¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 43¢ 94¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+120%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 69¢ 72¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 31¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 47¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Yes 30¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Yes 18¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Under 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? No 35¢ 36¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Over 78¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? No 82¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Morocco 85¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 13 $1 $0 -28%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$9 -35%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +112%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 +$2 +17%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $7 +$4 +56%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 +$5 +42%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 +$1 +74%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $1 +$1 +103%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $2 +$3 +145%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $3 +$3 +99%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $21 +$1 +2%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $2 +$3 +112%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $33 −$14 -41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$199
sports 9% +$35
other 8% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $1 2m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $1 9m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 9m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 9m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 9m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $2 11m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 11m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 11m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 12m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $2 12m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 69¢ $2 23m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 95¢ $1 33m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 96¢ $2 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $3 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 76¢ $1 3h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 78¢ $1 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $1 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $2 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 60¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 96¢ $2 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 97¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $2 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $2 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $1 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 86¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 89¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 441 -2.5% -11.8% 50% 30% -14.9%
≤30d 473 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 30% -14.7%
≤90d 473 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 30% -14.7%
all 473 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 30% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover399.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 30% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 23% -22.9%
15% -27.9% 15% -30.3%
20% -34.9% 10% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $137.53 · official $135.68 · 3500 history records