Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37d8…729f
crypto · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$17 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses56 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 95
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day90.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -7.5% -16.3% 59% 51% -10.3%
≤30d 95 -7.5% -16.3% 59% 51% -10.3%
≤90d 95 -7.5% -16.3% 59% 51% -10.3%
all 95 -7.5% -16.3% 59% 51% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 51% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 42% -18.9%
15% -31.6% 25% -26.7%
20% -38.3% 14% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 251 history records