Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:14:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37de…6fab
crypto · 727 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$730 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$729 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$729
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses345 / 380
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)725 / 727
History coverage19d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day139.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 725 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$225
14 days−$383
30 days−$729
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$11 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$34 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$23 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$15 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $28 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $60 −$57 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 08 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $13 +$17 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $53 −$14 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $27 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $60 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $61 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 08 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 08 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 08 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$19 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$647
weather 4% −$69
sports 1% −$10
other 0% +$2
world 0% −$5
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -15.5% -23.6% 49% 33% -15.2%
≤30d 725 -16.4% -24.3% 48% 32% -15.1%
≤90d 725 -16.4% -24.3% 48% 32% -15.1%
all 725 -16.4% -24.3% 48% 32% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover139.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.3% 32% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.6% 17% -23.2%
15% -38.2% 11% -30.7%
20% -44.2% 9% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.50 · official $3.30 (match) · 3500 history records