Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:47:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37e0…024e
other · 24 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
+$701,707 +142%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$728,634 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$219
Realized−$728,634
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses23 / 171
Whale WR (big bets)24%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)194 / 24
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20,583
Trades / day3472.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 3 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$728,634
7 days−$728,634
14 days−$728,634
30 days−$728,634
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 31¢ 34¢ $89 $96 +$7 (+8%)
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No 64¢ 69¢ $64 $69 +$5 (+9%)
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 34¢ 30¢ $34 $30 −$4 (-10%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? No 50¢ 50¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? No 69¢ 0¢ $11,540 $0 −$11,540 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? No 21¢ 0¢ $1,402 $0 −$1,402 (-100%)
Spread: Warriors (-8.5) Mavericks 50¢ 0¢ $10,350 $0 −$10,350 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2,003 $0 −$2,003 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1,125 $0 −$1,125 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $609 $0 −$609 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07? No 65¢ 0¢ $431 $0 −$431 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07? No 17¢ 0¢ $1,447 $0 −$1,447 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? No 54¢ 0¢ $1,709 $0 −$1,709 (-100%)
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5 No 49¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? No 1¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14? No 35¢ 0¢ $8,876 $0 −$8,876 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? No 75¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $10,208 $0 −$10,208 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? No 87¢ 0¢ $17,399 $0 −$17,399 (-100%)
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1,855 $0 −$1,855 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12? No 47¢ 0¢ $23,500 $0 −$23,500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $11,540 −$11,540 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? Jun 14 $1,402 −$1,402 -100%
Spread: Warriors (-8.5) Jun 14 $10,350 −$10,350 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $2,003 −$2,003 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4PM ET Jun 14 $1,125 −$1,125 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Jun 14 $609 −$609 -100%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07? Jun 14 $431 −$431 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07? Jun 14 $1,447 −$1,447 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Jun 14 $1,709 −$1,709 -100%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14? Jun 14 $8,876 −$8,876 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw? Jun 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $490 −$490 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? Jun 14 $10,208 −$10,208 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06? Jun 14 $114 −$114 -100%
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02? Jun 14 $1,855 −$1,855 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12? Jun 14 $23,500 −$23,500 -100%
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07? Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-24? Jun 14 $1,512 −$1,512 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1,940 −$1,940 -100%
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-03-14? Jun 14 $633 −$633 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10? Jun 14 $312 −$312 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24? Jun 14 $320 −$320 -100%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $5,642 −$5,642 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 14 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $979 −$979 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? Jun 14 $907 −$907 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? Jun 14 $1,432 −$1,432 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17? Jun 14 $2,310 −$2,310 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? Jun 14 $38,262 −$38,262 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? Jun 14 $1,200 −$1,200 -100%
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $570 −$570 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28? Jun 14 $539 −$539 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02? Jun 14 $14,838 −$14,838 -100%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? Jun 14 $4,640 −$4,640 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25? Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $25,283 −$25,283 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28? Jun 14 $10,815 −$10,815 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07? Jun 14 $12,459 −$12,459 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? Jun 14 $39,500 −$39,500 -100%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4,219 −$4,219 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10? Jun 14 $6,800 −$6,800 -100%
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06? Jun 14 $7,731 −$7,731 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 14 $20,396 −$20,396 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$290,736
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 94¢ $15 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $13 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 95¢ $331 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $118 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $66 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $13 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $39 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $5 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $5 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 94¢ $1,079 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $5 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $133 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 98¢ $191 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $129 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $66 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $39 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $263 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 98¢ $98 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $133 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $13 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $21 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $525 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $21 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 88¢ $7 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 88¢ $107 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 88¢ $107 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 88¢ $183 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 88¢ $37 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 93¢ $4,650 12h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 88¢ $73 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-77.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 -75.4% -77.7% 12% 7% -53.1%
≤30d 194 -75.4% -77.7% 12% 7% -53.1%
≤90d 194 -75.4% -77.7% 12% 7% -53.1%
all 194 -75.4% -77.7% 12% 7% -53.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3472.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -77.7% 7% -53.1%
10% -79.9% 6% -57.6%
15% ← realistic here -81.8% 6% -61.7%
20% -83.6% 5% -65.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $219.25 · official $219.26 (match) · 3500 history records