Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37e4…3b66
crypto · 618 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$390 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$398 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$160
Realized−$398
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses234 / 362
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions22
Markets (closed)596 / 618
History coverage87d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 22 History 596 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $33 $47 +$14 (+42%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $33 $34 +$1 (+4%)
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $33 $28 −$5 (-14%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Under 51¢ 58¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+14%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 48¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-19%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 9¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+29%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Haiti 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 62¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 9¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-31%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Under 45¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-17%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Under 9¢ 8¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 57¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Under 19¢ 23¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Haiti 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13? No 81¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $6 +$3 +48%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $14 +$9 +64%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$4 -74%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 −$3 -73%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 +$10 +110%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 +$23 +1116%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +41%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +83%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +165%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 11 $3 $0 -0%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$1 -12%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 −$1 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $20 +$7 +36%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $12 +$11 +89%
England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 10 $20 −$1 -3%
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 10 $15 −$2 -11%
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $15 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on May 15? May 16 $5 +$2 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 15? May 15 $5 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14? May 15 $5 +$1 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 13? May 13 $27 +$6 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 1 May 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14? May 12 $31 −$31 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 14? May 12 $7 −$6 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 1 May 12 $32 +$14 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11? May 12 $31 +$5 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 11? May 11 $30 +$5 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 11? May 11 $31 +$7 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13? May 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 1 May 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$160
weather 27% −$178
other 11% −$11
sports 6% −$10
finance 2% −$7
world 1% −$11
tech 1% −$8
politics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $2 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Haiti 5¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $3 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $3 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 62¢ $3 1h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 80¢ $3 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $2 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) SELL Qatar 99¢ $9 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 97¢ $17 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $2 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 45¢ $3 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 SELL Over 22¢ $2 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Under 19¢ $1 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $2 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 25¢ $2 8h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 8h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $4 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $4 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $3 8h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 8h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 66¢ $6 8h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $7 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +17.7% +6.5% 38% 35% -9.6%
≤30d 40 +18.4% +7.1% 42% 40% -8.4%
≤90d 596 -11.0% -19.5% 39% 34% -20.6%
all 596 -11.0% -19.5% 39% 34% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.5% 34% -20.6%
10% -27.2% 26% -28.2%
15% -34.2% 21% -35.1%
20% -40.7% 19% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $160.50 · official $160.41 (match) · 2039 history records