Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:50:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37e4…c991
other · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$907,029 -107%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,633,207 · open −$4,181
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$287,706
Realized−$13,633,207
Unrealized−$4,181
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses20 / 479
Whale WR (big bets)2%
Est. fees paid−$7,712
Open positions18
Markets (closed)499 / 37
History coverage2d
Avg bet$22,859
Trades / day1587.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 18 History 499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,633,207
7 days−$13,633,207
14 days−$13,633,207
30 days−$13,633,207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $92,177 $81,532 −$10,645 (-12%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 88¢ $48,223 $48,142 −$82 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 43¢ 54¢ $32,250 $40,124 +$7,875 (+24%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $29,250 $28,125 −$1,125 (-4%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 42¢ 38¢ $27,279 $24,296 −$2,983 (-11%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $23,192 $20,569 −$2,623 (-11%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $13,921 $13,673 −$249 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 19¢ 20¢ $10,214 $11,021 +$806 (+8%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 32¢ 74¢ $4,509 $10,357 +$5,848 (+130%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 45¢ 44¢ $5,729 $5,665 −$64 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 45¢ 46¢ $2,289 $2,365 +$76 (+3%)
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 10¢ $988 $1,518 +$530 (+54%)
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $1,571 $157 −$1,414 (-90%)
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $49 $64 +$15 (+31%)
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $42 $50 +$8 (+18%)
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 3¢ $196 $33 −$163 (-83%)
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 19¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+126%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $10,488 $0 −$10,488 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? No 45¢ 0¢ $87,620 $0 −$87,620 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? No 44¢ 0¢ $33,635 $0 −$33,635 (-100%)
Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown Hoyas Georgetown Hoyas 11¢ 0¢ $1,077 $0 −$1,077 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 40¢ 0¢ $48,000 $0 −$48,000 (-100%)
Seahawks vs. 49ers 49ers 41¢ 0¢ $63,783 $0 −$63,783 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21? No 26¢ 0¢ $895 $0 −$895 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Jun 14 $10,488 −$10,488 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 14 $87,620 −$87,620 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? Jun 14 $33,635 −$33,635 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown Hoyas Jun 14 $1,077 −$1,077 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 14 $48,000 −$48,000 -100%
Seahawks vs. 49ers Jun 14 $63,783 −$63,783 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21? Jun 14 $895 −$895 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $25,989 −$25,989 -100%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 14 $64 −$64 -100%
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18? Jun 14 $77 −$77 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Kings vs. Panthers Jun 14 $12,482 −$12,482 -100%
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17? Jun 14 $6,196 −$6,196 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-01? Jun 14 $1,174 −$1,174 -100%
Hornets vs. Pacers Jun 14 $44,350 −$44,350 -100%
Devils vs. Bruins Jun 14 $26,500 −$26,500 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Jun 14 $41,323 −$41,323 -100%
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $78,037 −$78,037 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 14 $25,404 −$8,736 -34%
Commanders vs. Vikings Jun 14 $74,496 −$74,496 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-11.5) Jun 14 $48,000 −$48,000 -100%
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5 Jun 14 $6,270 −$6,270 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Jun 14 $20,950 −$20,950 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05? Jun 14 $18,000 −$18,000 -100%
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09? Jun 14 $36,404 −$36,404 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? Jun 14 $2,826 −$2,826 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? Jun 14 $80,750 −$80,750 -100%
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $66,000 −$66,000 -100%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29? Jun 14 $12,897 −$12,897 -100%
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5) Jun 14 $56,250 −$56,250 -100%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22? Jun 14 $107 −$107 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 14 $78,000 −$78,000 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) Jun 14 $938 −$938 -100%
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-09? Jun 14 $453 −$453 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-10.5) Jun 14 $1,630 −$1,630 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09? Jun 14 $1,038 −$1,038 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bengals vs. Bills Jun 14 $1,802 −$1,802 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11? Jun 14 $3,621 −$3,621 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Jun 14 $27,500 −$27,500 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 14 $74,000 −$74,000 -100%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08? Jun 14 $7,731 −$7,731 -100%
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3) Jun 14 $1,658 −$1,658 -100%
Chiefs vs. Raiders Jun 14 $63,000 −$63,000 -100%
Chargers vs. Chiefs Jun 14 $8,851 −$8,851 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) Jun 14 $40,500 −$40,500 -100%
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) Jun 14 $8,623 −$8,623 -100%
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meetin Jun 14 $2,804 −$2,807 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25? Jun 14 $57,000 −$57,000 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$167,131
other 44% +$22,813
crypto 0% +$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $6 3m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $5,823 6m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $26 9m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $96 19m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $75 22m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $62 33m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $6 33m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $16 34m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $16 38m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $13 38m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 42m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $19 42m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 44m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 46m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $27 48m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 53m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $15 55m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $18 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $30 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $44 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 2h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $12 2h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $58 2h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 2h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $44 2h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $24 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-86.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 499 -84.7% -86.2% 4% 4% -94.3%
≤30d 499 -84.7% -86.2% 4% 4% -94.3%
≤90d 499 -84.7% -86.2% 4% 4% -94.3%
all 499 -84.7% -86.2% 4% 4% -94.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1587.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -86.2% 4% -94.3%
10% -87.5% 2% -94.8%
15% ← realistic here -88.7% 2% -95.3%
20% -89.8% 2% -95.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $287,705.82 · official $286,155.75 (match) · 3500 history records