Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37e9…ab9f
other · 820 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,651 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,641 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$162
Realized+$1,641
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses173 / 874
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1047 / 820
History coverage74d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day45.8
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 7 History 1047 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$128
7 days+$117
14 days+$595
30 days+$1,370
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? Yes 62¢ 70¢ $90 $103 +$13 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-1%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 54¢ 52¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14? Yes 49¢ 40¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-18%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-90%)
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-07? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Drita win on 2025-12-18? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SC Bastia vs. Grenoble Foot 38 end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07? No 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 Over 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Slovenia Slovenia 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw? No 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -200%
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-07? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Drita win on 2025-12-18? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SC Bastia vs. Grenoble Foot 38 end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Slovenia Jun 13 $1 −$1 -153%
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-01? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Congo vs. Tanzania end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-31? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Midtjylland vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Zambia vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norwich City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Famalicão vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Napoli vs. Como end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump say "Israel" 3+ times during Monday press conference? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-23? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-09-21? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-01-31? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Chelsea win 4-0? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
MLS: Will LAFC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-07? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will OGC Nice vs. FC Nantes end in a draw? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Belgium vs. North Macedonia end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Alanyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% +$871
weather 39% +$934
sports 13% +$35
world 9% +$575
politics 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 20m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $13 21m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 22m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 22m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 66¢ $26 22m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 66¢ $7 26m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 66¢ $17 27m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 28m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 19¢ $6 28m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 28m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 19¢ $8 28m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 19¢ $5 29m
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 49m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 24¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 34¢ $12 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 19¢ $8 10h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 60¢ $4 10h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 60¢ $11 10h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $4 11h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 39¢ $8 11h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 17¢ $3 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 56¢ $23 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 24¢ $10 13h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $8 13h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 13h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-41.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -79.9% -81.8% 8% 7% -5.0%
≤30d 603 -55.5% -59.7% 14% 13% +11.8%
≤90d 1047 -35.1% -41.3% 17% 16% +3.7%
all 1047 -35.1% -41.3% 17% 16% +3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.3% 16% +3.7%
10% ← realistic here -46.9% 15% -6.2%
15% -52.0% 14% -15.2%
20% -56.7% 13% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $162.48 · official $162.48 (match) · 3500 history records