Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:24:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x37fa…1199
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$361 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$440 · open −$70
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$504
Realized+$440
Unrealized−$70
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses20 / 12
Open positions5
Markets (closed)32 / 37
History coverage155d
Avg bet$151
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$532
7 days+$834
14 days+$435
30 days+$440
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 29¢ 32¢ $406 $441 +$35 (+9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $39 $28 −$10 (-27%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $16 $14 −$3 (-16%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $99 $7 −$91 (-92%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 1? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 5? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 7? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? No 19¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2? No 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,227 +$98 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $742 +$434 +58%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $95 +$5 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $390 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $216 +$267 +124%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $52 −$9 -16%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 +$6 +60%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $11 +$13 +127%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $100 +$18 +18%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6? Jun 06 $21 −$20 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 7? Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $50 +$3 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $112 −$107 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $11 −$10 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $22 −$21 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $287 −$21 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $51 +$3 +6%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -53%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $100 +$7 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $113 −$110 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $103 −$100 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $10 +$1 +11%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 1? Jun 01 $101 +$8 +8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 01 $10 $0 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 1? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -95%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 01 $10 $0 +4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua May 30 $4 $0 +5%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? May 30 $2 +$3 +127%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 30 $5 +$2 +35%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16? Jan 17 $5 $0 +4%
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 11 $2 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$364
tech 1% +$3
economics 0% +$3
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 45¢ $327 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 69¢ $135 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 13¢ $96 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 94¢ $188 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 7¢ $65 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 10¢ $59 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $49 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $13 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +204.0% +175.1% 89% 56% +22.7%
≤30d 30 +36.3% +23.3% 60% 27% +2.3%
≤90d 30 +36.3% +23.3% 60% 27% +2.3%
all 32 +34.5% +21.7% 62% 28% +2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +21.7% 28% +2.3%
10% +10.0% 19% -7.5%
15% -0.6% 16% -16.5%
20% -10.4% 16% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $503.70 · official $503.70 (match) · 355 history records