Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3813…bc54
crypto · 241 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses170 / 71
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage50d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$32
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$15 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$22 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$29 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$11 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$13 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $122 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$19 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$20 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$10 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$13 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$12 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$20 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
sports 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $22 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $23 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $37 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $30 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $17 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $30 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $20 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -5.2% -14.3% 79% 46% -8.4%
≤30d 230 -7.0% -15.9% 72% 46% -9.9%
≤90d 241 -7.3% -16.1% 71% 46% -9.9%
all 241 -7.3% -16.1% 71% 46% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 46% -9.9%
10% -24.1% 22% -18.5%
15% -31.5% 12% -26.4%
20% -38.2% 8% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 785 history records