trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -51.2% | -55.8% | 25% | 25% | -30.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -51.2% | -55.8% | 25% | 25% | -30.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -51.2% | -55.8% | 25% | 25% | -30.0% |
| all | 8 | -51.2% | -55.8% | 25% | 25% | -30.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.8% | 25% | -30.0% |
| 10% | -60.1% | 12% | -36.7% |
| 15% | -63.9% | 12% | -42.9% |
| 20% | -67.5% | 12% | -48.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $864 | $873 | +$9 (+1%) |
| Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $37 | $29 | −$8 (-22%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 24¢ | 10¢ | $43 | $17 | −$26 (-61%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $66 | −$4 | -7% |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists | Jun 21 | $25 | −$21 | -84% |
| Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $26 | +$4 | +14% |
| Alex Baena: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 21 | $43 | +$29 | +67% |
| Curaçao to score first vs. Ecuador? | Jun 20 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |