Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x386e…2012
crypto · 990 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$65 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses555 / 510
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1065 / 990
History coverage136d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1065 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$90
14 days−$90
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 33¢ 96¢ $2 $7 +$4 (+191%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 98¢ 60¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 37¢ 40¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +854%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$10 +3354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$55 +5442%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$12 +2702%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$5 +3500%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$8 +16500%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$27 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$18 +8855%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$10 -133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +2368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$16 +2471%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$10 -678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$11 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 376 +50.7% +36.3% 56% 30% -17.6%
≤30d 946 +20.6% +9.2% 54% 44% -12.7%
≤90d 968 +28.0% +15.8% 54% 43% -12.1%
all 1065 +27.5% +15.4% 52% 41% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.4% 41% -11.4%
10% +4.3% 39% -19.9%
15% -5.8% 37% -27.6%
20% -15.0% 34% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.92 · official $9.36 · 3500 history records