Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x3885…ca77
crypto · 89 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$20,947 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22,302 · open +$1,040
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$24,742
Realized+$22,302
Unrealized+$1,040
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses50 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions23
Markets (closed)70 / 89
Avg bet$5,739
Trades / day213.9
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 23 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,134
7 days+$13,570
14 days+$22,302
30 days+$22,302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 93¢ 99¢ $10,622 $11,353 +$731 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $4,875 $5,038 +$164 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $4,255 $4,725 +$470 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 80¢ 100¢ $2,085 $2,587 +$501 (+24%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $360 $319 −$41 (-11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? No 85¢ 83¢ $203 $200 −$4 (-2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? Yes 6¢ 12¢ $94 $171 +$77 (+81%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? No 82¢ 80¢ $110 $107 −$3 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? No 12¢ 1¢ $644 $67 −$577 (-90%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? No 76¢ 76¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13? No 92¢ 99¢ $23 $25 +$2 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? Yes 88¢ 96¢ $22 $24 +$2 (+10%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 14? No 91¢ 97¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+6%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 15? No 89¢ 96¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? No 8¢ 1¢ $166 $17 −$150 (-90%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 12? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $115 $15 −$100 (-87%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 13? Yes 14¢ 37¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+161%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? No 6¢ 3¢ $21 $9 −$12 (-58%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? No 5¢ 1¢ $18 $5 −$14 (-74%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 16? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Yes 12¢ 1¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-90%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? No 2¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-98%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? No 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $1,337 +$1,483 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? Jun 12 $14,370 −$15,322 -107%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,022 −$65 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $67 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $8,475 +$4,422 +52%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $13,992 +$1,337 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $15,633 +$2,178 +14%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 10? Jun 10 $58 +$3 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $61 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $20,274 +$1,496 +7%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 9? Jun 09 $13 +$1 +7%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 9? Jun 09 $19 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down on June 9? Jun 08 $62 −$60 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,170 +$89 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $28,518 +$2,877 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $17,263 −$29 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 8? Jun 08 $3,423 −$958 -28%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 8? Jun 08 $93 +$8 +9%
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 9? Jun 08 $265 +$90 +34%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 10? Jun 08 $57 −$8 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $11,114 +$5,667 +51%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 11? Jun 08 $9 −$9 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $1,806 +$168 +9%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 7? Jun 07 $12 +$1 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $7,075 +$7,954 +112%
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 7? Jun 07 $584 +$1,095 +188%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $9,591 +$363 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 6? Jun 06 $154 +$411 +267%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 6? Jun 06 $28 +$3 +9%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 6? Jun 06 $17 +$4 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $1,138 +$560 +49%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 05 $1,131 +$500 +44%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5? Jun 05 $27 +$4 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $6,142 +$772 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $34,781 −$1,335 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $751 +$36 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 5? Jun 05 $45 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 5? Jun 05 $4,464 −$1,419 -32%
Solana Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $115 −$113 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $53,759 −$6,099 -11%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4? Jun 04 $5,320 +$1,395 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $17,844 +$2,481 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$37,355
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $14 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 96¢ $2,444 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 11¢ $24 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 82¢ $112 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 78¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? BUY No 76¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY No 2¢ $0 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 78¢ $1 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 85¢ $831 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY No 3¢ $6 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $335 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY No 4¢ $0 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $68 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 24¢ $13 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $11 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 18¢ $35 16h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 16? BUY Yes 95¢ $0 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 73¢ $4 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 74¢ $4 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+103.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +161.7% +136.7% 78% 33% -4.9%
≤30d 70 +125.2% +103.7% 71% 34% -6.0%
≤90d 70 +125.2% +103.7% 71% 34% -6.0%
all 70 +125.2% +103.7% 71% 34% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover213.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +103.7% 34% -6.0%
10% +84.2% 19% -15.0%
15% ← realistic here +66.4% 16% -23.2%
20% +50.1% 16% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24,742.34 · official $24,753.28 (match) · 3500 history records