Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T18:18:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
38 0x389e…e831 crypto 246 markets active 2d ago coverage 233d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$78 (+0%) realized +$78 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%239W / 7L
Whale WR89%big bets
Drawdown5%max
Avg bet$284per market
Trades / day1.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$5
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$78
politics 3% −$2
other 2% −$1
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 56 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 174 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 246 +0.1% -9.4% 97% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 89% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×21.81 per $1 lost it wins $21.81
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

233d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses239 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)246 / 246
History coverage233d
Avg bet$284
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 246 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 24? Jun 24 $63 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 24? Jun 24 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 24? Jun 24 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 24? Jun 24 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 24? Jun 24 $63 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 22? Jun 22 $229 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 21? Jun 21 $229 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 20? Jun 20 $83 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 20? Jun 20 $87 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 20? Jun 20 $59 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $95 on June 18? Jun 19 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 18? Jun 19 $115 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 18? Jun 19 $13 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 17? Jun 18 $228 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 17? Jun 17 $228 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.45 on June 16? Jun 17 $208 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 16? Jun 16 $20 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 15? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 15? Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $95 on June 15? Jun 16 $53 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 15? Jun 15 $25 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? Jun 15 $27 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 14? Jun 15 $200 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? Jun 14 $226 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 12? Jun 13 $226 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 11? Jun 12 $226 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 10? Jun 11 $225 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 10? Jun 10 $225 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 9? Jun 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 9? Jun 10 $213 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 8? Jun 09 $225 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 7? Jun 07 $224 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 6? Jun 06 $224 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 5? Jun 06 $59 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 5? Jun 06 $55 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 5? Jun 06 $105 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 5? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 4? Jun 05 $223 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 4? Jun 04 $223 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 3? Jun 03 $141 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 3? Jun 03 $82 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 2? Jun 03 $140 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2? Jun 02 $82 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $105 on June 1? Jun 02 $140 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on May 31? Jun 01 $19 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 31? Jun 01 $62 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $100 May 25-31? Jun 01 $140 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 30? May 31 $222 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 28? May 29 $137 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on May 28? May 29 $84 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 42h
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $63 42h
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $69 42h
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $63 42h
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $24 42h
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $229 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 21? BUY No 100¢ $229 3d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 20? BUY No 100¢ $59 5d
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 20? BUY No 100¢ $83 5d
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 20? BUY No 100¢ $87 5d
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 18? BUY No 100¢ $13 6d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 18? BUY No 100¢ $115 6d
Will Solana reach $95 on June 18? BUY No 100¢ $100 6d
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $228 6d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $228 7d
Will XRP reach $1.45 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $108 8d
Will XRP reach $1.45 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $100 8d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $20 8d
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Will Solana reach $95 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $53 9d
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $150 9d
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 9d
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $27 10d
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $150 10d
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $50 10d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $164 11d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $63 11d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $126 12d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $100 12d
Will Solana reach $80 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $18 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 535 history records