trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 30% | 10% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 30% | 10% | -9.2% |
| all | 26 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 46% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 22 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $11 | +$1 | +12% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $7 | −$1 | -11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 26 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times June 27–July 4? | Aug 10 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31? | Aug 10 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jul 01 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 01 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jul 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Jun 23 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 265–279 times June 20–27? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$1 | -44% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 22 | $11 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 22 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 22 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 21 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 24 | $11 | $0 | -1% |