trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 67% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 75% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 29 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 14% | 3% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 3% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 3% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 3% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 25? | May 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19? | Apr 22 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 14 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Feb 28 | $3 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 17 | $326 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Jan 17 | $332 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 17 | $375 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 16 | $343 | −$1 | -0% |
| Pelicans vs. Pacers | Jan 16 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 16 | $377 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 16 | $379 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 15 | $359 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 15 | $372 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 15 | $379 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 14 | $358 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 14 | $340 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Jan 13 | $374 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 13 | $336 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 13 | $366 | $0 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 12 | $379 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | Jan 12 | $374 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jan 10 | $165 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 09 | $376 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Jan 09 | $371 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 08 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 08 | $301 | $0 | -0% |