Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:07:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
38 0x38c3…e384 crypto 1222 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (532 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$42 (-0%) realized −$42 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate93%1131W / 91L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day532.0pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$121
other 5% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (532 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1222 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 26% -10.3%
≤30d 1222 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 26% -10.3%
≤90d 1222 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 26% -10.3%
all 1222 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 26% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover532.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 26% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
64% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$15 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1131 / 91
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1222 / 1222
History coverage2d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day532.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1222 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2440 history records