Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

38
0x38d8…ea7c
other · 231 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,016 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,981 · open −$1,593
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,712
Realized+$5,981
Unrealized−$1,593
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses110 / 76
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions63
Markets (closed)186 / 231
Avg bet$322
Trades / day937.8
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 63 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,063
7 days+$5,981
14 days+$5,981
30 days+$5,981
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $122 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 34¢ 64¢ $300 $565 +$265 (+88%)
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? No 59¢ 68¢ $297 $345 +$48 (+16%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 53¢ 57¢ $300 $322 +$23 (+8%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June? No 66¢ 80¢ $245 $297 +$52 (+21%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? No 89¢ 94¢ $266 $280 +$14 (+5%)
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395? Yes 63¢ 67¢ $208 $220 +$12 (+6%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? No 56¢ 37¢ $282 $188 −$94 (-33%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of June? No 10¢ 10¢ $185 $168 −$17 (-9%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June? No 79¢ 91¢ $139 $161 +$22 (+16%)
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in June? No 61¢ 92¢ $103 $156 +$53 (+51%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June? No 85¢ 86¢ $143 $146 +$3 (+2%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $210? No 83¢ 78¢ $153 $145 −$8 (-5%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of June 8 2026? No 80¢ 95¢ $118 $140 +$22 (+19%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June? Yes 75¢ 64¢ $159 $137 −$22 (-14%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in June? No 65¢ 67¢ $129 $133 +$4 (+3%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? Yes 39¢ 20¢ $247 $127 −$121 (-49%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $136 in June? No 59¢ 34¢ $174 $101 −$73 (-42%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $144 in June? No 64¢ 46¢ $130 $93 −$37 (-28%)
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 15¢ 5¢ $281 $91 −$190 (-68%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No 10¢ 4¢ $205 $88 −$118 (-57%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 15¢ 5¢ $262 $87 −$175 (-67%)
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $360? Yes 58¢ 64¢ $77 $85 +$8 (+11%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? No 76¢ 78¢ $80 $81 +$2 (+2%)
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $324 Week of June 8 2026? No 82¢ 93¢ $50 $57 +$7 (+14%)
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 8 above $290? No 12¢ 3¢ $246 $53 −$192 (-78%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 12 $306 +$15 +5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June? Jun 12 $454 +$304 +67%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June? Jun 12 $56 +$203 +365%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading Jun 12 $1 −$1 -89%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? Jun 12 $73 +$132 +181%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? Jun 12 $214 +$14 +7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $543 +$194 +36%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June? Jun 11 $481 +$309 +64%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 in June? Jun 11 $5 +$45 +866%
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on June 11? Jun 11 $237 +$34 +14%
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on June 11? Jun 11 $417 −$142 -34%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? Jun 11 $592 +$334 +56%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on June 11? Jun 11 $303 +$3 +1%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 11? Jun 11 $637 +$25 +4%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $303 +$93 +31%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $771 −$71 -9%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,162 +$680 +58%
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $779 −$53 -7%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 11? Jun 11 $18 +$2 +11%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $828 −$388 -47%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 11? Jun 11 $926 +$4 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? Jun 11 $353 −$217 -61%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1,073 −$207 -19%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? Jun 11 $329 +$47 +14%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $321 −$211 -66%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 11? Jun 11 $300 +$40 +13%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $299 −$46 -15%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,121 −$11 -1%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $437 +$26 +6%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on June 11? Jun 11 $306 +$48 +16%
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $45 +$3 +6%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 11? Jun 11 $300 +$95 +32%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $328 +$100 +30%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $460 +$76 +16%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? Jun 11 $2,104 +$273 +13%
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1,547 +$421 +27%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? Jun 11 $2,260 +$72 +3%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June? Jun 11 $347 −$260 -75%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 11? Jun 11 $248 +$592 +238%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on June 11? Jun 11 $22 +$2 +9%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of th Jun 11 $1 $0 -2%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on June 11? Jun 11 $22 +$2 +9%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $682 −$115 -17%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 11 $167 −$42 -25%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $479 −$151 -32%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $807 −$193 -24%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in June? Jun 11 $59 +$8 +14%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 11? Jun 11 $402 −$121 -30%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $586 +$36 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 35% −$1,300
finance 35% +$5,375
tech 26% +$362
sports 4% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? SELL Yes 28¢ $20 2m
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of t SELL No 87¢ $4 21m
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of t BUY Yes 40¢ $2 21m
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $360? BUY Yes 62¢ $12 45m
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? SELL Yes 25¢ $10 48m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 75¢ $13 48m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 76¢ $101 49m
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $360? BUY Yes 58¢ $34 49m
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $360? BUY Yes 57¢ $15 53m
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355? BUY Yes 83¢ $48 55m
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395? BUY Yes 64¢ $95 55m
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $360? BUY Yes 57¢ $15 55m
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240? BUY Yes 76¢ $6 58m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 77¢ $5 1h
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of t SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $136 in June? SELL No 39¢ $8 1h
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June? SELL Yes 69¢ $43 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $14 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? SELL No 54¢ $9 1h
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395? BUY Yes 63¢ $93 1h
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395? BUY Yes 62¢ $19 1h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? SELL No 60¢ $93 1h
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June? SELL Yes 52¢ $97 1h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $136 in June? SELL No 33¢ $16 2h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $210? SELL No 84¢ $6 2h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $144 in June? SELL No 48¢ $37 2h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June? SELL No 61¢ $86 2h
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June? SELL No 62¢ $15 2h
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June? SELL Yes 53¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 +27.0% +14.9% 59% 41% -1.3%
≤30d 186 +27.0% +14.9% 59% 41% -1.3%
≤90d 186 +27.0% +14.9% 59% 41% -1.3%
all 186 +27.0% +14.9% 59% 41% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover937.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.9% 41% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here +3.9% 28% -10.7%
15% -6.1% 17% -19.4%
20% -15.3% 13% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,711.64 · official $4,709.52 (match) · 3500 history records