trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Under | 55¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $181 | +$81 (+81%) |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Over | 56¢ | 100¢ | $18 | $32 | +$14 (+79%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $0 | −$200 (-100%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Over | 44¢ | 0¢ | $184 | $0 | −$184 (-100%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $53 | −$34 | -64% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$133 | +649% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $187 | −$184 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $152 | +$173 | +114% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $59 | +$57 | +97% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $69 | +$142 | +206% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 31 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23? | Jan 20 | $9 | +$9 | +95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +87.6% | +69.7% | 50% | 50% | -2.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +87.6% | +69.7% | 50% | 50% | -2.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +87.6% | +69.7% | 50% | 50% | -2.7% |
| all | 10 | +69.8% | +53.7% | 50% | 50% | -5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +53.7% | 50% | -5.4% |
| 10% | +39.0% | 50% | -14.5% |
| 15% | +25.5% | 50% | -22.8% |
| 20% | +13.2% | 50% | -30.3% |