Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x395c…44fe
crypto · 249 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$71 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$112 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses163 / 86
Open positions0
Markets (closed)249 / 249
History coverage48d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET May 18 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 17 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 17 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 17 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 16 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 16 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 16 $9 +$4 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -8.1% -16.9% 76% 12% -18.1%
≤30d 55 -7.2% -16.0% 76% 27% -17.0%
≤90d 249 -5.9% -14.8% 65% 45% -14.8%
all 249 -5.9% -14.8% 65% 45% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 45% -14.8%
10% -23.0% 14% -22.9%
15% -30.4% 6% -30.4%
20% -37.3% 2% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 653 history records