Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:08:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x396c…da01
crypto · 84 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$223 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$213 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$77
Realized+$213
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses48 / 34
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)82 / 84
History coverage2d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day101.3
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days+$213
14 days+$213
30 days+$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 54¢ 56¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+5%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 31¢ 30¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$29 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$8 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$51 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$16 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$40 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$21 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$36 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$22 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$91 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$9 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$101 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$15 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$43 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$30 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$25 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$17 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$39 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$76 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$54 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$171
tech 7% +$70
sports 0% $0
other 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $56 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $39 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $21 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $52 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $62 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $96 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $104 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $52 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $26 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $66 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $119 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $92 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $52 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $52 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $66 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -0.8% -10.2% 59% 54% -6.3%
≤30d 82 -0.8% -10.2% 59% 54% -6.3%
≤90d 82 -0.8% -10.2% 59% 54% -6.3%
all 82 -0.8% -10.2% 59% 54% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 54% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 45% -15.3%
15% -26.7% 35% -23.5%
20% -33.9% 29% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $77.20 · official $63.00 · 229 history records