trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 13% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 15% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $203 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 07 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 28 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 26 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? | May 14 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | May 09 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 17 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 13 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 08 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 04 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 23 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 18 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Mar 12 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Mar 10 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 05 | $103 | $0 | +0% |