Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x3977…a7dd
crypto · 292 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,571 -99%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,571 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,571
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses148 / 501
Open positions0
Markets (closed)649 / 292
History coverage2d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day2202.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 649 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,571
7 days−$8,571
14 days−$8,571
30 days−$8,571
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $265 −$265 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,466
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $22 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $24 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-55.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 649 -50.3% -55.1% 23% 23% -62.2%
≤30d 649 -50.3% -55.1% 23% 23% -62.2%
≤90d 649 -50.3% -55.1% 23% 23% -62.2%
all 649 -50.3% -55.1% 23% 23% -62.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2202.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -55.1% 23% -62.2%
10% ← realistic here -59.4% 23% -65.8%
15% -63.3% 23% -69.1%
20% -66.9% 23% -72.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records