Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T15:04:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
39 0x3989…d601 crypto 344 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1293 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,380 (+14%) realized +$2,380 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate61%210W / 134L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day1293.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1293 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 344 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 344 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 344 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 0% -9.3%
all 344 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1293.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 0% -18.0%
15% -29.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -36.8% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,380
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses210 / 134
Open positions0
Markets (closed)344 / 344
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$49
Trades / day1293.2
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 344 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $18 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $47 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $29 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $83 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $61 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $60 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $18 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $63 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $42 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $63 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $63 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $87 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $28 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $42 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $83 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $47 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $42 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $87 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $60 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $18 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $101 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $26 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $39 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records