Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:56:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x398c…2c61
crypto · 1766 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1714 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1772 / 1766
History coverage51d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day35.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 1772 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$5
14 days−$6
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$5
other 7% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 529 -0.9% -10.3% 96% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 1483 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 1772 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.7%
all 1772 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.04 · official $2.04 (match) · 3500 history records