Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:15:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
39 0x399b…765e crypto 611 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$110 (+0%) realized +$110 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate94%576W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day28.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$105
7 days+$49
14 days−$16
30 days+$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$125
other 6% −$92
sports 5% +$32
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 +1.2% -8.4% 98% 4% -9.2%
≤30d 606 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 7% -9.4%
≤90d 611 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 7% -9.4%
all 611 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 7% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 7% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 4% -18.0%
15% -26.3% 2% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$19 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses576 / 35
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)611 / 611
History coverage32d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day28.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 611 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $28 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $52 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $52 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $104 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $22 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $102 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $102 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $77 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $150 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $113 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $31 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $104 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $54 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $70 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $91 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $490 +$9 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $140 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $96 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $151 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $96 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $52 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $52 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $52 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $52 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $52 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $52 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $51 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1819 history records