Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
39 0x39a6…7201 crypto 1465 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$254 (-6%) realized −$254 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate60%881W / 584L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day57.7pace
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 72% −$275
other 28% −$87
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 726 -4.6% -13.7% 62% 57% -12.7%
≤30d 1035 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 54% -14.8%
≤90d 1465 -7.6% -16.4% 60% 49% -16.6%
all 1465 -7.6% -16.4% 60% 49% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 49% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 38% -24.6%
15% -31.7% 27% -31.9%
20% -38.4% 15% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$254
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses881 / 584
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1465 / 1465
History coverage35d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day57.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1465 Trades
no open positions (219 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +25%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +26%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +29%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +26%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +83%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +86%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $2 +$2 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 37m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 46m
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 51m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 52m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2754 history records