Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39a8…47db
crypto · 1572 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,492 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,492 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,492
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses683 / 696
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1379 / 1572
History coverage80d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day26.3
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1379 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$405
7 days+$1,566
14 days+$1,907
30 days+$1,907
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$17 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$14 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$13 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$11 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$12 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$12 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$8 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$18 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$14 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$14 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$15 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$8 +81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,530
sports 1% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $16 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $29 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $17 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $29 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 416 +30.1% +17.7% 57% 57% +16.1%
≤30d 615 +24.3% +12.4% 55% 55% +12.8%
≤90d 1379 +8.3% -2.0% 50% 49% -1.5%
all 1379 +8.3% -2.0% 50% 49% -1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.0% 49% -1.5%
10% ← realistic here -11.4% 49% -11.0%
15% -19.9% 49% -19.6%
20% -27.8% 49% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2526 history records