Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:23:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39ab…8355
crypto · 1389 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$203 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1065 / 336
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1401 / 1389
History coverage15d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day235.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1401 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$64
14 days−$221
30 days−$203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -2302%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -548%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -307%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -408%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1000%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$166
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -7.7% -16.5% 71% 8% -15.1%
≤30d 1401 -3.1% -12.3% 76% 9% -11.6%
≤90d 1401 -3.1% -12.3% 76% 9% -11.6%
all 1401 -3.1% -12.3% 76% 9% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover235.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 9% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 0% -20.1%
15% -28.4% 0% -27.8%
20% -35.4% 0% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records