Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39b1…2093
crypto · 1732 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$354 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$354 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$354
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1226 / 506
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1732 / 1732
History coverage56d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day31.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 0 History 1732 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$71
14 days−$88
30 days−$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$215
other 30% −$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 366 -4.2% -13.4% 83% 51% -13.0%
≤30d 1064 -3.1% -12.4% 82% 53% -13.7%
≤90d 1732 -7.1% -16.0% 71% 52% -17.0%
all 1732 -7.1% -16.0% 71% 52% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 52% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 31% -25.0%
15% -31.4% 18% -32.2%
20% -38.1% 13% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records