Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:42:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
39 0x39db…13c8 crypto 1628 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1370 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$32 (-1%) realized −$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate56%908W / 720L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day1369.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1370 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1231 +1.7% -7.9% 57% 56% -8.6%
≤30d 1628 -0.5% -9.9% 56% 55% -11.8%
≤90d 1628 -0.5% -9.9% 56% 55% -11.8%
all 1628 -0.5% -9.9% 56% 55% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1369.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 55% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 53% -20.2%
15% -26.4% 47% -27.9%
20% -33.6% 40% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses908 / 720
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1628 / 1628
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1369.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1628 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +72%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +81%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? SELL No 1¢ $0 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records