Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:15:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39dc…fc23
sports · 561 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,057 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,117 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized−$4,117
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses225 / 336
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Est. fees paid−$1,497
Open positions2
Markets (closed)561 / 561
History coverage29d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day108.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$264
7 days−$1,376
14 days−$1,582
30 days−$4,117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 66¢ 66¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Hanne Vandewinkel 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+254%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 18¢ 34¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ 8¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Los Angeles Angels 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Nikola Bartunkova 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers Jun 13 $0 −$2 -536%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1416%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $62 +$68 +111%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $11 −$4 -32%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $34 −$4 -12%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 −$2 -34%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $78 +$64 +83%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $443 +$12 +3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $60 +$84 +141%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $20 −$8 -42%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $542 +$11 +2%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $524 +$18 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $123 −$36 -29%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $227 −$11 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $488 −$67 -14%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $84 −$22 -26%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $102 −$33 -33%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $37 −$8 -20%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $571 +$13 +2%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $309 +$14 +5%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $12 −$4 -35%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $25 −$8 -32%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $25 −$11 -45%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $74 −$62 -84%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $491 −$83 -17%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $182 −$6 -3%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $233 −$24 -10%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $8 −$5 -65%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $77 −$6 -8%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $114 +$6 +5%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $184 −$25 -14%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $19 −$7 -34%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $141 −$26 -18%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $68 −$11 -16%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $338 −$32 -10%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $363 −$42 -12%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $195 +$62 +32%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $271 −$6 -2%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $222 +$30 +14%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $40 −$10 -25%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $227 −$1 -0%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $164 +$1 +0%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $199 −$47 -23%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $171 −$38 -22%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $111 +$13 +12%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $135 −$20 -15%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $134 +$13 +9%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $113 −$8 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$4,111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 66¢ $99 7m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 57¢ $1 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 57¢ $84 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 42¢ $64 21m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 7¢ $7 23m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $4 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $10 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $6 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $8 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $3 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $20 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $20 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $2 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $2 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $20 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $1 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 64¢ $1 25m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ $1 29m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ $1 29m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ $10 30m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ $2 30m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ $1 31m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ $2 31m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 18¢ $15 41m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 18¢ $1 41m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 18¢ $1 41m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 18¢ $1 41m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 18¢ $1 41m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 18¢ $0 41m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 18¢ $1 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 -6.6% -15.5% 34% 15% -13.0%
≤30d 561 -9.5% -18.1% 40% 32% -15.1%
≤90d 561 -9.5% -18.1% 40% 32% -15.1%
all 561 -9.5% -18.1% 40% 32% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 32% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 24% -23.2%
15% -33.1% 19% -30.6%
20% -39.7% 17% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.62 · official $64.34 · 3500 history records