Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:42:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

39
0x39e5…816c
crypto · 1735 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$662 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$662 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$662
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1020 / 1038
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2058 / 1735
History coverage159d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2058 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$574
7 days−$526
14 days−$526
30 days−$526
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 376 -84.6% -86.1% 3% 3% -67.9%
≤30d 376 -84.6% -86.1% 3% 3% -67.9%
≤90d 483 -65.9% -69.2% 20% 16% -52.1%
all 2058 -17.5% -25.4% 50% 48% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.4% 48% -22.2%
10% -32.5% 43% -29.6%
15% -39.0% 39% -36.4%
20% -45.0% 30% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records