trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 20% | 20% | -1.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 18% | 18% | -2.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 18% | 18% | -2.0% |
| all | 11 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 18% | 18% | -2.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.8% | 18% | -2.0% |
| 10% | -43.7% | 18% | -11.3% |
| 15% | -49.2% | 18% | -19.9% |
| 20% | -54.2% | 9% | -27.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $44 | $43 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 20¢ | $11 | $9 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 3¢ | $23 | $3 | −$20 (-86%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $11 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$23 | +224% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $7 | −$6 | -87% |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -8% |