Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:18:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3a37…3b1d
crypto · 431 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$279 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$277 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$277
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses226 / 317
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)543 / 431
History coverage3d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day998.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 543 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$866
7 days−$277
14 days−$277
30 days−$277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 53¢ 42¢ $26 $21 −$6 (-22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 58¢ 52¢ $14 $13 −$2 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 64¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 55¢ 48¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 7, 3PM ET? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 11AM ET? No 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+186%)
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 10, 5AM ET? No 20¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+400%)
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 7AM ET? Yes 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 3AM ET? No 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 11, 10AM ET? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 2PM ET? No 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 7, 11AM ET? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 4PM ET? No 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? No 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 10AM ET? No 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,000 on June 6, 8PM ET? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? No 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 9, 2PM ET? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 11AM ET? No 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 7, 10PM ET? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 6, 3AM ET? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 11AM ET? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 9AM ET? No 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 7, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 7, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 4PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,000 on June 6, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 7, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 6, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 9, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 9, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 8, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 8, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 6AM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 9, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 9, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 9, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 6, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 7, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 8, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 7, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,580 on June 6, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 9, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$353
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $19 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-35.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 543 -28.2% -35.1% 42% 31% -10.5%
≤30d 543 -28.2% -35.1% 42% 31% -10.5%
≤90d 543 -28.2% -35.1% 42% 31% -10.5%
all 543 -28.2% -35.1% 42% 31% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover998.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.1% 31% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -41.3% 19% -19.1%
15% -46.9% 12% -26.9%
20% -52.1% 9% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.01 · official $44.33 · 3500 history records