Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T03:40:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3A 0x3a3b…9b67 crypto 233 markets active 3d ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$106 (-4%) realized −$106 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate57%133W / 100L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day58.1pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$13
14 days−$180
30 days−$210
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$165
sports 5% −$17
other 4% −$26
world 1% $0
politics 1% −$1
finance 1% +$1
tech 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -42.9% -48.3% 25% 0% -41.1%
≤30d 233 -13.9% -22.1% 57% 35% -16.5%
≤90d 233 -13.9% -22.1% 57% 35% -16.5%
all 233 -13.9% -22.1% 57% 35% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.1% 35% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 22% -24.5%
15% -36.4% 6% -31.8%
20% -42.6% 2% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$106
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses133 / 100
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)233 / 233
History coverage13d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day58.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 233 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $3 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $43 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $24 −$9 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $13 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$6 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$3 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 3d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 887 history records