trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $189 | $189 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $387 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 26 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 26 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $398 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 19 | $368 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 19 | $130 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the February Meeti | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 16 | $299 | $0 | -0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 16 | $200 | +$1 | +0% |