trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Bologna vs. Aquila Basket Trento | Virtus Bologna | 87¢ | 0¢ | $17 | $0 | −$17 (-100%) |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet | Corentin Moutet | 42¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Barcelona vs. Valencia | Barcelona | 94¢ | 0¢ | $24 | $0 | −$24 (-100%) |
| Basket Zaragoza vs. Valencia | Basket Zaragoza | 87¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs | Athletics | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-99%) |
| Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Pallacanestro Brescia | Pallacanestro Trieste | 89¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Cincinnati Reds | 74¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $47 | −$42 | -90% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $99 | +$9 | +9% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 11 | $148 | +$20 | +14% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 11 | $25 | +$1 | +4% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 11 | $115 | −$4 | -3% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $86 | −$8 | -9% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 11 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 11 | $25 | +$5 | +20% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 11 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 10 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 10 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp | Jun 10 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 10 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet | Jun 09 | $11 | −$7 | -68% |
| Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jason Jung | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 08 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 05 | $0 | $0 | -96% |
| CB Murcia vs. Forca Lleida CE | May 29 | $30 | +$3 | +11% |
| Barcelona vs. Valencia | May 28 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Derthona Basket vs. Reyer Venezia | May 22 | $11 | +$1 | +6% |
| Basket Zaragoza vs. Valencia | May 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Pallacanestro Brescia | May 18 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | May 17 | $32 | −$3 | -8% |
| Virtus Bologna vs. Aquila Basket Trento | May 17 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 09 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 48% | 19% | -12.9% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -24.7% | -31.8% | 41% | 17% | -19.0% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 40% | 17% | -19.3% |
| all | 30 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 40% | 17% | -19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.1% | 17% | -19.3% |
| 10% | -40.4% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 15% | -46.2% | 0% | -34.1% |
| 20% | -51.5% | 0% | -40.6% |