Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:14:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3abb…3405
crypto · 967 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$18,267 +66%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,460 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$88
Realized−$3,460
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses428 / 714
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1142 / 967
History coverage13d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day219.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,474
7 days−$5,285
14 days−$3,460
30 days−$3,460
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $57 $56 −$1 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 59¢ 56¢ $31 $30 −$2 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,103
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $11 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 776 -38.4% -44.2% 29% 28% -37.3%
≤30d 1142 -19.9% -27.5% 37% 35% -20.0%
≤90d 1142 -19.9% -27.5% 37% 35% -20.0%
all 1142 -19.9% -27.5% 37% 35% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover219.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 35% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 31% -27.6%
15% -40.8% 27% -34.6%
20% -46.6% 22% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.29 · official $83.45 · 3500 history records