trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 53% | 53% | -12.7% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 56% | 52% | -17.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 56% | 52% | -17.6% |
| all | 25 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 56% | 52% | -17.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 52% | -17.6% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 44% | -25.5% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 40% | -32.7% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 24% | -39.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $63 | $63 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $41 | $44 | +$3 (+6%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+6%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $30 | −$14 | -46% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$9 | +45% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | −$10 | -50% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$7 | +131% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$15 | +72% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $41 | −$17 | -41% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$10 | +51% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$17 | +56% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $50 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $16 | +$9 | +54% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $34 | −$18 | -53% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $17 | +$10 | +54% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $79 | +$9 | +12% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $40 | +$19 | +47% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $250 | −$105 | -42% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $38 | +$8 | +22% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $61 | +$29 | +48% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $114 | +$6 | +5% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $125 | +$28 | +22% |