Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T17:45:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3A 0x3acc…b8d6 other 6 markets active 5h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (123 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$394 (+71%) realized +$394 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +66% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +28% what you keep after slip
Net edge+28%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%6W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$92per market
Trades / day123.0pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 56% +$223
sports 44% +$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+50.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +66.0% +50.2% 100% 100% +54.8%
≤30d 6 +66.0% +50.2% 100% 100% +54.8%
≤90d 6 +66.0% +50.2% 100% 100% +54.8%
all 6 +66.0% +50.2% 100% 100% +54.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover123.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.2% 100% +54.8%
10% ← realistic here +35.8% 100% +39.9%
15% +22.7% 100% +26.4%
20% +10.7% 83% +14.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 54% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +71% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +66% · $-wt +71% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
20.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$66 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$394
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day123.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? Jun 20 $143 +$107 +75%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-2 Jun 20 $143 +$101 +71%
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 Jun 20 $89 +$55 +62%
Will David Martinez be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2 Jun 20 $21 +$10 +50%
Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Jun 20 $24 +$14 +60%
Will Carlos Correa lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? Jun 18 $135 +$106 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $14 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $7 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $7 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $11 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $8 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $14 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $25 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $9 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $8 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $17 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $9 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 231 history records