Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:59:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3A 0x3acf…fc28 crypto 1745 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (149 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$567 (-2%) realized −$567 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%1659W / 86L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day148.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$24
14 days−$336
30 days−$336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$336
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (149 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 594 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 3% -9.9%
≤30d 1745 -0.8% -10.3% 95% 4% -10.8%
≤90d 1745 -0.8% -10.3% 95% 4% -10.8%
all 1745 -0.8% -10.3% 95% 4% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover148.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 4% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -19.3%
15% -26.7% 0% -27.1%
20% -33.9% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$15 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$567
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1659 / 86
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1745 / 1745
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day148.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1745 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records