Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3acf…5a05
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$38 -41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 7 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 50¢ 50¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Total Corners Odd or Even? Odd 64¢ 54¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-16%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 20¢ 5¢ $15 $4 −$11 (-75%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-19%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% −$12
sports 45% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Total Corners Odd or Even? BUY Odd 64¢ $6 52m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $7 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $25 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 21¢ $15 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 20¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -4.1% -13.3% 0% 0% -13.3%
≤30d 1 -4.1% -13.3% 0% 0% -13.3%
≤90d 1 -4.1% -13.3% 0% 0% -13.3%
all 1 -4.1% -13.3% 0% 0% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 0% -13.3%
10% -21.6% 0% -21.6%
15% -29.2% 0% -29.2%
20% -36.1% 0% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.95 · official $55.95 · 9 history records