Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:54:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3ae0…8661
sports · 305 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,941 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,707 · open −$234
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$311
Realized−$3,707
Unrealized−$234
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses108 / 193
Est. fees paid−$291
Open positions4
Markets (closed)301 / 305
History coverage23d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day70.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$90
7 days−$1,013
14 days−$1,104
30 days−$3,707
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 33¢ 100¢ $70 $209 +$139 (+199%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 29¢ 100¢ $25 $86 +$61 (+243%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 40¢ 18¢ $35 $15 −$20 (-56%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 16¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 53¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Dplus 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Barça eSports 33¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Liquid 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 18¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 53¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 44¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 64¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner LOS 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 42¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 36¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Zero Tenacity 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Team Yandex 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 29¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $71 +$28 +40%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $124 +$9 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $61 −$60 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $132 −$56 -43%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$60 +292%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $132 +$31 +23%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$24 +48%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $261 −$117 -45%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 +$29 +100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$37 +725%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$28 +55%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $345 +$65 +19%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $57 −$47 -82%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $37 −$36 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$21 +42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 +$39 +129%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $71 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$17 +34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $71 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $31 +$51 +165%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$8 -16%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$9 +18%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $137 +$15 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $212 −$50 -24%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $51 +$30 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $61 +$4 +7%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $132 −$32 -24%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $182 +$30 +17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$28 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $61 −$60 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $61 +$58 +95%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$11 -22%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $72 +$47 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3,941
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 31¢ $5 30m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 36¢ $10 31m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 46¢ $20 31m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $25 49m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 5¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 7¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 19¢ $20 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 20¢ $31 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ $20 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 60¢ $20 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 60¢ $20 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 21¢ $20 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 21¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $112 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 29¢ $26 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 42¢ $20 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $30 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $10 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $20 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $20 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $20 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 78¢ $25 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $78 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 23¢ $10 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $10 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $101 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-34.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -24.2% -31.4% 37% 32% -25.5%
≤30d 301 -27.6% -34.5% 36% 34% -30.1%
≤90d 301 -27.6% -34.5% 36% 34% -30.1%
all 301 -27.6% -34.5% 36% 34% -30.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.5% 34% -30.1%
10% ← realistic here -40.8% 30% -36.8%
15% -46.5% 25% -42.9%
20% -51.7% 19% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $310.89 · official $310.89 (match) · 1775 history records